Tai'an Tiankuangvs
Shangyu Pterosaur
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tai'an Tiankuang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tai'an Tiankuang 1-0 Shangyu Pterosaur, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tai'an Tiankuang 3-0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Original prediction
Tai'an Tiankuang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.7% | 46.6% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 30.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 6.87 | 13.1% | 23.4% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Projected Score
Tai'an Tiankuang 1–0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Tai'an Tiankuang
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Tai'an Tiankuang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00