GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tai'an Tiankuang · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tai'an Tiankuang 0-0 Chengdu Rongcheng II, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

Tai'an Tiankuang 3-1 Chengdu Rongcheng II

Original prediction

Tai'an Tiankuang

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.0%40.0%-1.0 pts
Draw3.1328.8%32.0%3.2 pts
Away2.9930.2%28.0%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Projected Score

Tai'an Tiankuang 0–0 Chengdu Rongcheng II

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Tai'an Tiankuang

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Tai'an Tiankuang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tai'an TiankuangLDWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chengdu Rongcheng IILDLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Tai'an TiankuangChengdu Rongcheng II
35.8Attack27.2
67.9Defence60.5
45.7Form30.9
52.1Power41.4
0.94xG0.46
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