Taguigvs
Tainan City
SCHEDULEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taguig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 40.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 32.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Taguig
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Taguig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TaguigDDLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Tainan CityDLDDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TaguigTainan City
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
50.0Power45.3
1.63xG1.33