Taguatinga ECvs
Planaltina DF
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasiliense B · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taguatinga EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Taguatinga EC 0-1 Planaltina DF
Original prediction
Taguatinga EC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.6% | 53.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 24.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.0% | 22.3% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Taguatinga EC
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Taguatinga EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80