Taguatinga ECvs
Luziânia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasiliense B · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taguatinga EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Taguatinga EC 2-0 Luziânia
Original prediction
Taguatinga EC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 70.2% | 62.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 20.0% | 20.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 9.40 | 9.8% | 16.2% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Taguatinga EC
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Taguatinga EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00