GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tacuary are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaryD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
RB BragantinoLLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
TacuaryRB Bragantino
47.6Attack48.1
0.0Defence77.8
33.3Form51.9
29.3Power58.0
0.73xG1.81
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