Tacuaryvs
Paraguari AC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paraguari AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuary 2-4 Paraguari AC
Original prediction
Paraguari AC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.5% | 31.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.3% | 30.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.1% | 38.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Paraguari AC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Paraguari AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20