GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/2/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacuary · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tacuary are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Oriente Petrolero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacuary hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 16.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Tacuary holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacuary

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Tacuary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaryLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Oriente PetroleroDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaryOriente Petrolero
47.6Attack14.3
0.0Defence4.8
33.3Form14.3
29.3Power16.6
2.01xG1.03
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