GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/25/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Tacuary are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 45.3-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TacuaryWLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.50/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Estudiantes L.P.WDWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TacuaryEstudiantes L.P.
47.6Attack69.4
0.0Defence88.9
33.3Form72.2
29.3Power74.6
0.65xG2.77
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