Tacuaryvs
Deportivo Santani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuary 0-3 Deportivo Santani
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 23.7% | 18.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 23.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 57.4% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00