TacuarembovsUruguay Montevideo

Tacuarembo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Uruguay Montevideo hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.