Tacuarembovs
Sportivo Huracan
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tacuarembo 0-0 Sportivo Huracan, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuarembo 1-1 Sportivo Huracan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.4% | 30.8% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.8% | 32.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.8% | 36.6% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Tacuarembo 0–0 Sportivo Huracan
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TacuaremboDLLLW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo HuracanLWWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TacuaremboSportivo Huracan
25.0Attack37.5
61.1Defence58.3
34.7Form44.4
43.0Power49.3
0.66xG0.81