Tacuarembovs
Oriental
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tacuarembo 0-0 Oriental, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuarembo 0-1 Oriental
Original prediction
Oriental
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.3% | 24.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.6% | 32.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.1% | 43.2% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Tacuarembo 0–0 Oriental
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Oriental
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TacuaremboLLWDW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
OrientalWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TacuaremboOriental
24.2Attack43.5
62.1Defence66.7
36.4Form50.7
43.7Power55.2
0.50xG0.93