Tacuarembovs
La Luz
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tacuarembo 0-0 La Luz, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuarembo 0-1 La Luz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.0% | 29.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.7% | 34.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.3% | 35.6% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Tacuarembo 0–0 La Luz
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TacuaremboLLDDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
La LuzDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaremboLa Luz
26.2Attack29.8
59.5Defence63.1
32.1Form41.7
42.1Power47.0
0.61xG0.67