Segunda DivisiónSegunda División
Sunday, 5 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Tacuarembo

Tacuarembo

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Cerrito

Cerrito

Away
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Cerrito(24%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Tacuarembo
48%
Draw
28%
Cerrito
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Tacuarembo48%
Draw28%
Cerrito24%

Tacuarembo leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tacuarembo head into this in Segunda División fixture in unknown form, while Cerrito arrive in unknown form.

Tacuarembo have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Cerrito have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Tacuarembo and Cerrito in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Cerrito to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Tacuarembo 4773%, Draw 2780%, Cerrito 2447%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts Cerrito to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more