Tacuarembovs
Cerrito
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerrito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tacuarembo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerrito are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerrito hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Segunda División, while Cerrito holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerrito
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
22.2%
Cerrito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40