Tacuarembovs
Atenas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tacuarembo 0-0 Atenas, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tacuarembo 0-1 Atenas
Original prediction
Atenas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.8% | 27.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 31.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.8% | 40.5% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Projected Score
Tacuarembo 0–0 Atenas
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TacuaremboDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AtenasDDWDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaremboAtenas
26.9Attack43.6
60.3Defence62.8
34.6Form52.6
43.3Power54.4
0.62xG0.98