GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

10.0%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Whitecaps IIDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tacoma DefianceWhitecaps II
45.5Attack42.4
51.5Defence25.8
47.0Form24.2
49.6Power33.8
2.33xG1.10
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