Tacoma Defiancevs
Whitecaps II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
10.0%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00