Tacoma Defiancevs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 4/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tacoma Defiance are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.6 against 50.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
12.8%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20