Tacoma Defiancevs
Sporting KC II
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Swope Park Rangers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and tacoma Defiance hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the MLS Next Pro, favouring Tacoma Defiance with 9.6% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
9.6%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20