Tacoma DefiancevsSan Jose Earthquakes II

Tacoma Defiance are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.