GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Timbers IILWLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers II
45.5Attack44.9
51.5Defence65.2
47.0Form65.2
49.6Power60.0
1.01xG1.26
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