GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/27/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Los Angeles II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

12.6%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles IIWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceLos Angeles II
45.5Attack52.4
51.5Defence49.2
47.0Form50.8
49.6Power52.7
1.51xG1.44
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