GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tacoma Defiance are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while LA Galaxy II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

11.2%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tacoma DefianceWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LA Galaxy IILDWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceLA Galaxy II
45.5Attack68.3
51.5Defence55.6
47.0Form55.6
49.6Power59.8
1.29xG1.91
View match centre →