Tacoma Defiancevs
Austin II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Tacoma Defiance are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Austin II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80