GGOALVIO

Slovenia · 2. SNL · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tabor Sežana · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tabor Sežana 1-0 Krka, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Tabor Sežana 2-1 Krka

Original prediction

Tabor Sežana

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3070.3%50.8%-19.4 pts
Draw4.9118.6%26.7%8.1 pts
Away8.2211.1%22.5%11.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.4 pts

Projected Score

Tabor Sežana 1–0 Krka

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Tabor Sežana

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Tabor Sežana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tabor SežanaWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KrkaLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tabor SežanaKrka
41.1Attack35.6
63.3Defence43.3
55.6Form32.2
54.8Power38.8
1.58xG0.68
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