GGOALVIO

Slovenia · 2. SNL · 9/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tabor Sežana · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tabor Sežana 1-0 Bistrica

Original prediction

Tabor Sežana

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4163.0%41.5%-21.4 pts
Draw4.1821.3%28.3%7.0 pts
Away5.6615.7%30.2%14.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-21.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Tabor Sežana

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Tabor Sežana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tabor SežanaLWDWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BistricaLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tabor SežanaBistrica
41.1Attack100.0
63.3Defence66.7
55.6Form100.0
54.8Power88.7
1.14xG1.17
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