NB III - NorthwestNB III - Northwest
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Szombathelyi Haladas

Szombathelyi Haladas

Home
L
11
Full time
SC Sopron

SC Sopron

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Szombathelyi Haladas(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Szombathelyi Haladas
51%
Draw
25%
SC Sopron
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Szombathelyi Haladas
9
SC Sopron
9
Defence
Szombathelyi Haladas
6
SC Sopron
91
Momentum
Szombathelyi Haladas
0
SC Sopron
33
Danger (xG)
Szombathelyi Haladas
0.00
SC Sopron
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.03 xG for Szombathelyi Haladas and 1.27 xG for SC Sopron — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with SC Sopron holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.30 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Szombathelyi Haladas)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (SC Sopron)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Szombathelyi Haladas)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (SC Sopron)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas
L
SC SopronSC Sopron
D

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Szombathelyi Haladas51%
Draw25%
SC Sopron24%

Szombathelyi Haladas leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Szombathelyi Haladas Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Szombathelyi Haladas host SC Sopron in NB III - Northwest. Szombathelyi Haladas have recorded DWWLLD in recent matches while SC Sopron arrive with a run of LDLWLD.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.03 expected goals for Szombathelyi Haladas against 1.27 for SC Sopron — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Szombathelyi Haladas's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 54% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk SC Sopron have won 1 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Szombathelyi Haladas carry the stronger underlying metrics, SC Sopron's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Szombathelyi Haladas are generating a clear xG advantage — 2.03 projected against 1.27 for SC Sopron. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.77 is the clearest signal in the model that Szombathelyi Haladas are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Szombathelyi Haladas's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If SC Sopron defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Szombathelyi Haladas fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Szombathelyi Haladas

Szombathelyi Haladas

L
@ Fehérvár FC
10 Jul 2026
03
SC Sopron

SC Sopron

D
vs Dorogi FC
17 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Szombathelyi Haladas vs SC Sopron?

GoalVio's model predicts Szombathelyi Haladas to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Szombathelyi Haladas vs SC Sopron?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Szombathelyi Haladas vs SC Sopron?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Szombathelyi Haladas vs SC Sopron?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more