GGOALVIO

Hungary · Magyar Kupa · 10/28/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Szentlőrinc SE 3-4 Vasas

Original prediction

Vasas

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.1311.1%31.1%20.0 pts
Draw4.7818.8%23.8%5.0 pts
Away1.2870.1%45.1%-25.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–28%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Vasas

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Vasas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Szentlőrinc SEWLDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VasasLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Szentlőrinc SEVasas
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
2.10xG2.05
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