Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shirak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Syunik 2-0 Shirak
Original prediction
Shirak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.4% | 21.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 24.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.9% | 54.7% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Shirak
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Shirak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SyunikLLDLD
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ShirakLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SyunikShirak
12.5Attack45.8
29.2Defence58.3
8.3Form41.7
21.4Power48.8
0.81xG1.84