GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Syunik 0-0 Pyunik Yerevan

Original prediction

Pyunik Yerevan

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home11.308.0%15.3%7.3 pts
Draw5.4516.6%20.0%3.4 pts
Away1.2075.4%64.7%-10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–211%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–39%

Predicted outcome

Pyunik Yerevan

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

64.7%

Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SyunikLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pyunik YerevanWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SyunikPyunik Yerevan
20.0Attack75.0
13.3Defence75.0
6.7Form83.3
18.8Power78.6
0.85xG2.46
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