Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BKMA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Syunik 4-1 BKMA
Original prediction
BKMA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.5% | 33.4% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 28.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 30.9% | 38.0% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
BKMA
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
BKMA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SyunikLWLLD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BKMALLDLW
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SyunikBKMA
20.0Attack26.7
26.7Defence46.7
16.7Form26.7
24.8Power34.9
0.90xG1.12