Sydneyvs
Western Sydney Wanderers
COMPLETEDAustralia · A-League · 10/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sydney 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers
Original prediction
Sydney
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.8% | 39.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.2% | 27.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 32.0% | 33.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sydney
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Sydney has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80