GGOALVIO

Sydney logoSydneyvsSD Raiders logoSD Raiders

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Australia · Australia Cup · 8/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Sydney are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SD Raiders are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (85.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

9.1%

Sydney has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SydneyWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SD RaidersDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SydneySD Raiders
100.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
85.5Power64.8
2.23xG1.54
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