GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/3/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sydney Olympic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

79.5%

Model confidence

16.0%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney OlympicWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sydney UnitedSydney Olympic
48.8Attack36.9
76.2Defence28.6
71.4Form26.2
67.3Power32.9
2.51xG0.51
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