Sydney Unitedvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sydney United 1-0 St. George Saints, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sydney United 6-0 St. George Saints
Original prediction
Sydney United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.0% | 74.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.5% | 17.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 10.66 | 8.5% | 7.8% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Sydney United 1–0 St. George Saints
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sydney United
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80