Sydney Unitedvs
Manly United
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sydney United 1-0 Manly United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sydney United 3-1 Manly United
Original prediction
Sydney United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.9% | 57.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 25.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.70 | 15.9% | 16.6% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Sydney United 1–0 Manly United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sydney United
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20