GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/26/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Brisbane Roar are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Brisbane Roar hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney UnitedDLWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Brisbane RoarW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Sydney UnitedBrisbane Roar
33.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power54.2
1.88xG1.78
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