Sydney Olympicvs
Sydney FC U23
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sydney FC U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sydney Olympic 1-1 Sydney FC U23
Original prediction
Sydney FC U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 24.1% | 23.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 22.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.6% | 53.8% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sydney FC U23
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Sydney FC U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60