GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manly United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney Olympic are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Manly United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Manly United hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while Manly United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manly United

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Manly United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney OlympicLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Manly UnitedDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney OlympicManly United
36.9Attack39.3
28.6Defence58.3
26.2Form45.2
32.9Power48.9
0.95xG1.63
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