Sydney Olympicvs
Bayswater City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayswater City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sydney Olympic 1-2 Bayswater City
Original prediction
Bayswater City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.2% | 35.2% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 26.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.2% | 38.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bayswater City
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Bayswater City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00