GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/19/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sydney II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Sydney Olympic are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney II hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney II

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Sydney II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney IILW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Sydney OlympicWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Sydney IISydney Olympic
41.7Attack36.9
51.2Defence28.6
44.0Form26.2
46.4Power32.9
2.01xG0.96
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