GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sydney FC U23 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sutherland Sharks are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

13.7%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sydney FC U23DWDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sutherland SharksLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sydney FC U23Sutherland Sharks
41.7Attack53.1
51.2Defence58.0
44.0Form53.1
46.4Power56.3
1.11xG1.47
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