GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/11/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SWQ Thunder · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

SWQ Thunder are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Mitchelton are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SWQ Thunder hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the Queensland Premier League, while SWQ Thunder holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SWQ Thunder

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

SWQ Thunder has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SWQ ThunderDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MitcheltonDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
SWQ ThunderMitchelton
72.7Attack36.4
45.5Defence0.0
45.5Form19.7
53.0Power22.2
4.50xG1.04
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