World CupWorld Cup
Thursday, 18 June 2026Last updated 10:14
Switzerland

Switzerland

Home
LDWWW
41
Full time
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Away
LWLD
SoFi Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Switzerland(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Switzerland
Win probability
Switzerland
51%
Draw
23%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Switzerland
61
Bosnia & Herzegovina
44
Defence
Switzerland
66
Bosnia & Herzegovina
27
Momentum
Switzerland
61
Bosnia & Herzegovina
33
Danger (xG)
Switzerland
0.93
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Switzerland)
0.93
avg per match
xG for (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
0.50
avg per match
xG against (Switzerland)
0.76
avg per match
xG against (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
0.92
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
LDWWW
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
LWLD

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Switzerland51%
Draw23%
Bosnia & Herzegovina25%

Switzerland leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Switzerland head into this in World Cup fixture at SoFi Stadium in strong form (LDWWW), while Bosnia & Herzegovina arrive in mixed form (LWLD). Switzerland have a 50% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 25% for Bosnia & Herzegovina over 4 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Switzerland's strong attack (61/100) faces a vulnerable Bosnia & Herzegovina defence (27/100), while Bosnia & Herzegovina's attack is up against a solid Switzerland backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Switzerland's favour.

Switzerland have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Bosnia & Herzegovina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

Switzerland have generated 0.71 xG per game recently while conceding 0.91 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches. Bosnia & Herzegovina have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 0.93 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.

Switzerland have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Switzerland to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Switzerland 5130%, Draw 2330%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 2540%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Switzerland 1Draws 00 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
18 Jun 2026
Switzerland
W41
Bosnia & Herzegovina
xG 1.20.2

Recent form

Switzerland

Switzerland

L
@ Argentina
12 Jul 2026
13
xG 0.5
D
vs Colombia
7 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.1
W
vs Algeria
3 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Canada
24 Jun 2026
21
xG 1.1
W
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Jun 2026
41
xG 1.2
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina

L
@ USA
2 Jul 2026
02
xG 0.2
W
vs Qatar
24 Jun 2026
31
xG 0.7
L
@ Switzerland
18 Jun 2026
14
xG 0.2
D
@ Canada
12 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

GoalVio's model predicts Switzerland to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more