World CupWorld Cup
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Switzerland

Switzerland

Home
LDWWW
20
Full time
Algeria

Algeria

Away
LDWL
BC Place
GoalVio prediction
58% confidence
Switzerland(58%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Switzerland
Win probability
Switzerland
58%
Draw
22%
Algeria
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Switzerland
61
Algeria
44
Defence
Switzerland
66
Algeria
20
Momentum
Switzerland
61
Algeria
33
Danger (xG)
Switzerland
0.93
Algeria
0.93
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Switzerland)
0.93
avg per match
xG for (Algeria)
0.93
avg per match
xG against (Switzerland)
0.76
avg per match
xG against (Algeria)
1.22
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
LDWWW
AlgeriaAlgeria
LDWL

Probability breakdown

58% confidence
Switzerland58%
Draw22%
Algeria21%

Switzerland leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Switzerland head into this in World Cup fixture at BC Place in strong form (LDWWW), while Algeria arrive in mixed form (LDWL). Switzerland have a 50% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 25% for Algeria over 4 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Switzerland's strong attack (61/100) faces a vulnerable Algeria defence (20/100), while Algeria's attack is up against a solid Switzerland backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Switzerland's favour.

Switzerland have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Algeria have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Switzerland have generated 0.71 xG per game recently while conceding 0.91 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches. Algeria have generated 1.24 xG per game recently while conceding 1.02 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.

Switzerland have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Switzerland to win with 58% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Switzerland 5756%, Draw 2162%, Algeria 2081%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Switzerland 1Draws 00 Algeria
Avg goals: 2.0
3 Jul 2026
Switzerland
W20
Algeria

Recent form

Switzerland

Switzerland

L
@ Argentina
12 Jul 2026
13
xG 0.5
D
vs Colombia
7 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.1
W
vs Algeria
3 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Canada
24 Jun 2026
21
xG 1.1
W
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Jun 2026
41
xG 1.2
Algeria

Algeria

L
@ Switzerland
3 Jul 2026
02
D
vs Austria
28 Jun 2026
33
xG 1.6
W
@ Jordan
23 Jun 2026
21
xG 1.8
L
@ Argentina
17 Jun 2026
03
xG 0.3

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Switzerland vs Algeria?

GoalVio's model predicts Switzerland to win with 58% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Algeria?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Algeria?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Switzerland vs Algeria?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more