Switzerland U21vs
Luxembourg U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Switzerland U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Switzerland U21 4-0 Luxembourg U21, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Switzerland U21 5-0 Luxembourg U21
Original prediction
Switzerland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 75.0% | 90.5% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.6% | 6.8% | -9.8 pts |
| Away | 10.74 | 8.5% | 2.7% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Switzerland U21 4–0 Luxembourg U21
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Switzerland U21
Probability
90.5%
Model confidence
90.5%
Switzerland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20