GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/9/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swit are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Wisła Płock II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisła Płock II hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwitWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wisła Płock IIWLDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SwitWisła Płock II
0.0Attack52.9
100.0Defence43.1
33.3Form42.2
45.3Power47.6
1.80xG1.46
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