Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Swit are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wasilków are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00