Switvs
Warta Sieradz
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
13.5%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80